This is your 13th playlist breakdown.

The Rolling Stones concert at the Circuit of the Americas on Saturday will be the 13th performance of the "No Filter" tour this fall. The previous stops were St. Louis, Charlotte, Pittsburgh, Nashville, Los Angeles (two shows), Minneapolis, Tampa, Dallas, Las Vegas, Atlanta and Detroit.

We analyzed the repertoire of these concerts and made 13 educated guesses about Austin's performance.

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1. They will play a total of 19 songs. Except for the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, which has 18 songs, this is true for every station.

2. The Stones will almost certainly open with "Street Fighting Man", which has always been the first song on the tour. (The only exception: one of the two Los Angeles dates starts with "Let's Stay Overnight Together.")

3. Encore will sing two songs: "Gimme Shelter" and "(I Can't Get No) Satisfaction". This seems ironclad, because all other shows are like this.

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4. The last five songs before Encore seem to be the same. All previous major episodes ended with "Miss You", "Midnight Walker", "Darkness", "Sympathy for the Devil" and "Jumpin' Jack Flash". (The only variant: In "Midnight Rambler", they mainly incorporated the blues title song "Come On In My Kitchen" into the song, but they also used "Hellhound On My Trail" several times, and also added some Prince "Purple Rain" enters Minneapolis to perform.)

5. Just before the home run, Keith Richards will lead two songs. Most nights are "contact" and "slip away", but he chose "happy" and "before they let me run" in some cities. It is almost guaranteed that his two rotations on the microphone will come from these four choices.

6. They will play "Living in a Ghost Town", which is a new song in the series. Released in April 2020, its lyrics echoed the early days of the pandemic ("Life is so good/then we are all locked"), although most of the tunes were written in 2019, when COVID-19 was still Did not arouse people's attention. (It is unlikely to be a cover of "Troubles a'Comin' by Chi-Lites. The band played in the first three performances of the tour and the warm-up show before the private tour in Boston, but it has not been included since then. Probably, It was selected very early to promote the recently re-released Stones 1981 album "Tattoo You"; the expansion feature is the cover of Chi-Lites.)

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7. Fans can help determine a song in the collection. All previous shows provided the opportunity to choose one of multiple songs on vote.rollingstones.com a few days before the concert. The options are different for each city. Here, we saw some interesting wild cards: "Wild Horse" (played 3 times) and "Ruby Tuesday" (played twice), as well as "Anji", "Dead Flower", "Monkey Man", " Let it bleed", "Doo Doo Doo Doo Doo (Heartbreaker)", "She's a Rainbow" and "Far Away Eyes".

Update: Austin’s four choices have just risen this week, namely: "Dead Flower", "Let It Bleed", "Sweet Virginia" and "Distant Eyes". Among them, "Sweet Virginia" is the only song that the band has not yet played on the tour this fall.

8. The introduction of the band members will be conducted in the middle of the performance. They usually occur after "Honky Tonk Women" with 10 songs.

9. You can rely on these dozen or so songs, which have been played in every performance: "Satisfy", "Let Me Start", "Jumpin' Jack Flash", "Tumbling Dice", "You Can't Always Get What you want, "Honky Tonk Women", "Paint it black", "Miss you", "Sympathy for the devil", "Give me shelter", "Midnight walker" and "Living in a ghost town".

10. In addition to fan voting, Stones has brought more surprises along the way. They played "Beast of Burden", "Get Off of My Cloud", "It's Only Rock & Roll" and "Rocks Off" twice; "All Down the Line" and "Fool to Cry" appeared only once. , "Sad Sad Sad", "Shattered", "Under My Thumb" and "You Got Me Rocking"-the last one also opened the Stones' 2006 Austin Show at Zilker Park. Earlier this week in Detroit, they threw up the cover of Temptations' "Ain't Too Proud to Beg", probably as a tribute to Motown.

11. Speaking of Zilker performances: If current trends remain the same, Austinites’ concerts will differ by more than 50% from the band’s last performance in town. The ones that may be played repeatedly are "Satisfaction", "Jumpin' Jack Flash", "Sympathy for the Devil", "Honky Tonk Women", "Tumbling Dice" and "Let's Stay Together". The rest are likely to contain material that does not appear in the list of 18 Zilker tracks.

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12. Inevitably, there will be personal favorites that can't be played. Some classic Stones works that have not yet appeared on the tour: "Time is by my side", "With tears passing", "Mother's little helper", "Emotional Rescue", "Waiting for Friends" and "Wobbling". (In recent weeks, the exclusion of the 1971 hit "Brown Sugar" caused a sensation; some reports cited conflicts about controversial lyrics depicting slavery.)

13. In other words, any of these tunes or other tunes may enter the Austin scene through fan voting or on a whim. This is the penultimate show of the tour and the last show in a large venue. (Last month, a 7,000-person casino in Hollywood, Florida added the last high-priced show.) If the band rides into Austin and is eager to play some songs they haven't finished yet, they might shuffle the cards here a bit.